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Thursday, April 14, 2005

Oil Prices

Posted by: Hammer / 8:45 AM

Kevin Drum has another entry on oil prices. The upshot remains the same -- if OPEC decides to cut back production or if there is a disruption in oil production, we face a near-term economic catastrophe. That scenario remains unlikely. On the other hand, global supply is increasing modestly while global demand (I'm looking at you, United States and China) is increasing rapidly. If we don't address global demand in the near-term by curbing demand growth to expected supply, we face an enormous problem.

On the other hand, prices at the pump are down 15% since my little anti-Hummer screed. Perhaps there's a way to harness the power of my poor short-term projections.

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