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Wednesday, June 01, 2005

Ten Most Harmful Napkins of the 19th and 20th Centuries

Posted by: Hammer / 3:18 PM

Human Events Online has a silly list of the "most harmful books" of the last 10 years or so. As we wander from Mein Kampf (#2, score of 41) to Unsafe at Any Speed (Honorable mention, score of 11) we should pause at #10: General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. HEO summarizes Keynes's argument thusly:
Keynes was a member of the British elite--educated at Eton and Cambridge--who as a liberal Cambridge economics professor wrote General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money in the midst of the Great Depression. The book is a recipe for ever-expanding government. When the business cycle threatens a contraction of industry, and thus of jobs, he argued, the government should run up deficits, borrowing and spending money to spur economic activity. FDR adopted the idea as U.S. policy, and the U.S. government now has a $2.6-trillion annual budget and an $8-trillion dollar debt.
The United States wrapped up World War 2 with $258 billion in debt. By 1949, the debt was down to $252 billion. A modest decrease, to be sure, but a decrease nonetheless.

Funny that Keynes is to blame for the debt that arose primarily from supply-side economics. The federal deficit was at $930 billion just after Reagan was elected. The deficit was $2.6 trillion by September, 1988. Four more years of Bush brought the deficit to $4 trillion. The deficit was at $5.67 trillion after 8 years under Clinton. As of April 30, 2005, the total deficit is $7.76 trillion.

In the last 25 years, the federal deficit has increased by $6.8 trillion (734%). 75% of the increase in debt is not from Keynesian economics, but from the Laffer curve.

Were I to start a list of the 10 most harmful napkins of the last hundred years, the napkin with Laffer's curve would surely top the list. Second would probably involve a scene from Billy Madison. After that, I'm open to suggestions.

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