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Monday, August 08, 2005

Doran goes negative pre-endorsement

Posted by: Hammer / 9:01 AM

Check out Inside Minnesota Politics from Wednesday, August 3. Peter Idusogie's podcast attracts a number of interesting guests. He doesn't have any guests this week, but he does have audio of Kelly Doran's anti-Kennedy ad that's running in Sugar Beet country (around 2:08). He also has news on Wetterling (10:19). According to Idusogie's sources, Wetterling is still seeking the DFL endorsement in the Senate race.

I think Doran's move makes great sense politically. His next step is to commission a Doran v. Kennedy poll. If he gets good numbers there, he can take that data back to the Cities to emphasize his out-state support. This would be especially effective given the perception that Klobuchar has poor support among rural voters.

6 Comments:

Doran was the only DFL candidate to have his own booth at Farm Fest. He put it smack dab next to Kennedy's booth.

cp

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:29 AM  

Doran is trying to get himself on the map. The coverage has been mostly Klobuchar v. Wetterling so far. Doran makes this interesting.

I think the preview of the general election is good. Gives voters a chance to see how the candidates will take on Kennedy.

By Blogger Hammer, at 10:02 AM  

We out here in rural Minnesota keep getting told by metro people that we don't like Klobuchar.

This talking point comes mainly from the rightie bloggers and Wetterling supporters. Exercise: try to find a mention of this meme that doesn't trace back to either source. Try to find one that actually is based in a rural source that isn't Republican or Wetterling.

There's much to be said for Doran as a candidate and he's out selling himself. Tough, well-informed--many folks I know will support him in the primary if Wetterling is the endorsed candidate.

Klobuchar has the same ability to aggressively engage Kennedy.

Wetterling in a battle with Kennedy?
It already happened.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:16 AM  

Bush beat Kerry 57-43 in the 6th district. Wetterling ran a point or two better than Kerry, or about 20,000 votes. A statewide campaign would be more favorable for Wetterling.

By Blogger Hammer, at 12:00 PM  

First of all hammer, I think your logic is a bit flawed. Wetterling may have run a strong campaign in the MN-06, but just because a handful of people liked her enough to vote for her and Bush doesn't mean the state would do the same. Kennedy didn't need to stomp her into the ground, he beat her by just enough to ensure victory. Amy Klobuchar got 99.9% of the vote in Hennepin county in 2002, far better than any Republican in that election... Can I use that to extrapolate certain victory for her?

Klobuchar also holds an elected office and has won elections. None of the other DFLers in the field have done either.

Nobody in Minnesota knows who Doran is, but he has $$$ to get his name out there. A poll right now would only confirm that nobody knows who he is. He's trying to do what Mark Dayton did in 2000, but I have a feeling that most DFLers are not looking to do that again.

By Anonymous Micah, at 8:24 PM  

Minnesota's 6th CD is far more conservative than the state as a whole. A democrat with Wetterling's name ID will do better in a statewide election because the pool of voters is more favorable. Conversely, Klobuchar will do worse statewide than she would in Hennepin County, because the principle is reversed. Hennepin County is far more liberal than the entire state.

I reserve the right to change my mind, given how early it is in the '06 campaigns, but I think you'll find that I've consistently favored Klobuchar for the senate seat and Wetterling to run again in the 6th CD. Even though I think Klobuchar is the best candidate for the Senate, I think Doran is making some good campaign decisions.

By Blogger Hammer, at 7:45 AM  

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