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Friday, March 17, 2006
Gonna cry
No, I'm not going to cry about the Badgers embarrassing NCAA performance. I'm not even going to cry about conservative bias in the press. Well, okay. Maybe a little. This is from AP:
It wasn't too long ago that Democratic leader Harry Reid mused aloud how it would take a miracle for his party to gain a 50-50 tie in the Senate, much less wrest control from Republicans this fall.
No one is claiming divine intervention in the days since. Yet eight months before midterm elections, Republican incumbents in Pennsylvania, Montana, Rhode Island, Ohio and Missouri face difficult races for re-election in a noticeably more challenging political environment for the GOP. And the early polls show a competitive campaign in Tennessee, where Majority Leader Bill Frist is retiring.
...Bush, buoyed by support for his handling of the war on terror, helped Republicans in the 2002 elections, then again when he ran for a second term in 2004. Now, his overall approval ratings hover at or below 40 percent in some surveys, Democrats have made inroads on the issue of terrorism, and well over a majority of those polled express pessimism about the future.
First, so much of sport is mental -- expecting to win. I think the Badgers lost track of how to win way back in January. They picked up some big wins at home down the stretch, but never played with the same confidence they did early in the year.
Second, can someone show me a opinion poll where Bush's approval rating is over 40%? Here's one round up of March polls
- Pew: 33%
- CBS: 34%
- CNN/USA Today/Gallup: 36%
- NBC/WSJ: 37%
- AP/IPSOS: 37%
- Zogby: 38%
- Fox: 39%
- NPR: 39%
- ABC/Washington Post: 41%
Given the actual polls, stating that Bush's job approval ratings hover at or below 40 percent in some surveys is wrong. Bush's job approval ranges from 33% to 41%, depending on the poll, with the majority of polls (5 of 9) between 37 and 39%. AP is representing the 89% percentile as some kind of middle ground, which is very misleading.
