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Tuesday, August 16, 2005

Ilyad al-Pawlenty

Posted by: Hammer / 2:17 PM

Yeah, so, after much hyper ventilating, the Iraqi national assembly punted the whole constitution thing until next week. It's the Minnesota budget on the international stage. Maybe the delegates to the national assembly should be kicked out of the Green Zone until they reach an agreement.

You can reach all kinds of compromises in a week. I'm concerned now, more than ever, that elements within the drafting process are not interested in compromise.

The Sunni provinces aren't likely to approve of an autonomous Shia state, so at first blush the demand seems self-defeating. On the other hand, if Sunni turnout for the October election is as low as it was for the national elections (10% or so), then it doesn't take very many pro-federation votes to avoid the 2/3 opposition in 3 provinces necessary to quash the constitution. Maybe the Shia earnestly believe that the Sunnis are radicalized enough to boycott this election, as well.

Damn, but I hope that calculation is wrong. If the calculation is correct, what is Iraq left with? Three autonomous regions, two oil-rich states ensconced behind thick walls while the Sunnis are relegated to a permanent cycle of poverty. Sounds like a recipe for never-ending violence, to me.


Have you ever checked out I'm not sure who does it, but it contains jihadi movies that show what's going on from the other side. Some are pretty gruesome.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 2:46 PM  

I'll check into later. I found some pages in Arabic, which I don't read, and so are meaningless to me.

By Blogger Hammer, at 3:04 PM  

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