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Tuesday, April 11, 2006

Bush's job approval

Posted by: Hammer / 12:50 PM

These numbers are going to turn around soon. But only because we are so close to the bottom, anyway. Yes, Bush's popularity is at a new low in yet another poll, but his unpopularity is becoming less news worthy. Still, it's fun to read about the re-awakening of America:

Bush's job approval rating has remained below 50 percent for nearly a year. Perhaps more ominous for the president, 47 percent in the latest poll say they "strongly" disapprove of Bush's handling of the presidency -- more than double the 20 percent who strongly approve.

Here's proof that Bush is at or near the bottom. Alan Keyes carried 27% of the vote against Barack Obama in 2004. Bush's approval has ranged from 31 to 35% in Illinois (MOE: 4%) since October, 2005. Bush will never go below 27% in Illinois. He probably can't go lower than 31. So his numbers have to improve. Not because he's doing a better job, but because there's nowhere else for him to go.


I don't know if Hammer knows it or not, but his theory has a name, the Crazification Factor

By Blogger Jambo, at 11:36 PM  

I knew it had a name, and I thought you had blogged it somewhere, but I couldn't find it. Thanks.

By Blogger Hammer, at 7:28 AM  

It's nothing more than the standard bell curve. The Republican Party (not the real Republican Party) panders to the nut cases three standard deviations to the right of the mean, and the Democrats pander to the nut cases three standard deviations to the left.

By Anonymous therealrepublican, at 3:38 PM  

I disagree. I'm only two SDs to the left and I don't feel ENOUGH of them are pandering to me.

Actually the whole mess got started when the folks 2-3 SDs to the left decided there was no difference between Gore and Bush in 2000 and either stayed home or voted for Nader. The Republicans are much better at keeping the nut cases inside the tent.

By Blogger Jambo, at 9:47 PM  

Maybe they thought that because during the debates Al Gore's most frequent response was "I agree".

By Blogger Hammer, at 7:39 AM  

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