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Wednesday, April 12, 2006

Sustained bombing campaigns never work

Posted by: Hammer / 12:57 PM

Do sustained bombing campaigns ever turn civilians against their leadership? Did London turn on Churchill during the Blitz? Did Germans turn on Hitler in the face of round-the-clock strategic bombing? Short of dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, has a sustained bombing campaign ever ended a war?

I ask after reading Josh Marshall's take on the Hersh article. Here's the passage that disquiets me:

One former defense official, who still deals with sensitive issues for the Bush Administration, told me that the military planning was premised on a belief that "a sustained bombing campaign in Iran will humiliate the religious leadership and lead the public to rise up and overthrow the government." He added, "I was shocked when I heard it, and asked myself, 'What are they smoking?'"

Is there any historical precedent for this (anonymously sourced) expected result?


Where are the Democrats? Where is the principled opposition?

By Anonymous therealrepublican, at 2:57 PM  

They are all running for President and don't want to be soft on terrorism.

By Blogger Hammer, at 2:59 PM  


By Blogger Joey de Vivre, at 3:55 PM  

A fair point on Kosovo. Without the bombing, Milosevic would never have agreed to allow peacekeepers. But there was no spontaneous revolution.

By Blogger Hammer, at 7:50 AM  

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