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Thursday, October 12, 2006
Fool me twice, shame on me: 224 Dems in the house
I admit it: I was totally stoked for the 2004 election. All the way through lunch I thought it was President Kerry and a solid showing in the Senate. How wrong I was...
So I refuse to get caught up in the excitement this time. True, Democrats could do with a lot less of people like me. All worn out and curmudgeonly on the inside, incapable of mustering excitement or driving up enthusiasm. Then I read breathless accounts of Democratic landslides come November and I think to myself: Self, believe it when you see it. A lot can happen from then to now.
The new Majority Watch from Constituent Dynamics will be released in a few minutes. Based on 63 polls of 48 districts of 1,000 likely voters each, they will show Democrats currently ahead in the House by 19 seats, 224-205, or the exact, 19-seat margin of the Republican Majority after the 2002 elections. It is also a significant increase from the 219-214 seat lead for Democrats found in the Majority Watch polling from late August and early September.
